Real Estate and Mortgage Market Update for Monday 06-18-2012

Treasuries and mortgages doing slightly better this morning as the stock indexes slightly weaker. At 9:30 the DJIA opened -47, NASDAQ -16; the 10 yr note +5/32 at 1.57% -1 bp; 30 yr mortgage prices at 9:30 +1/32 (.03 bp). The only data today; the June NAHB housing mkt index was expected at 28 unchanged from May; the index increased 1 point to 29 after increasing 4 points in May. The index is at its best level since May 2007; in that context it clearly shows how weak the housing market is. This week most all data is directed to the housing sector with May housing starts and permits on Tuesday and May existing home sales on Thursday. Thursday we get the weekly unemployment claims currently expected -6K at 380K. Thursday also has the key Philadelphia Fed business index, expected at -3.5 frm -5.8 in May. It looks like a quiet day; interest rate markets about unchanged and the stock market showing little appetite for rallying so far. If he stock indexes turn positive the bond andmortgage markets will likely see some selling. With the Greek vote behind us the next key event is the FOMC policy statement on Wednesday at 12:30 then Bernanke’s press conference at 2:15. In the absence of any news out of Europe the US markets are not likely to change much until Wednesday afternoon.